Anantha Narayanan

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A comparison of the simulation predictions with actual results

In this article, I am continuing on the
simulation methodology used to generate the daily predictor. The first 10
matches have been completed and this article looks at the predictions and
actual results. I have also selected and presented an actual simulated match
result which is very close to the actual match scores. Readers should remember
that these matches were simulated and sent to CastrolCricket couple of days before the actual match
was played
. It should also be remembered that the simulation of the
selected was done pre-match. Only the selection was done post-match.

 

1. Prediction: India-Bangladesh: 77-23
indicating an easy win.

Result: An easy win for India.

Actual match id:  3100

India won
by 87 runs. India : 370 for
4 vs Bangladesh
: 283 for 9

Simulation result (91st match).

India won by 94 runs. India
: 324/5/300 vs Bangladesh  : 230/10/262

 

2. Prediction: New Zealand-Kenya: 87-13
indicating an easy win.

Result: A very easy win for New Zealand.

Actual match id:  3101

New Zealand  won by 10 wkts. Kenya : 69 all out vs New Zealand : 72 for 0

Simulation result (51st match).

New Zealand won by 9 wkts. Kenya
: 68/10/ 87 vs New Zealand
: 69/1/ 55

 

3. Prediction: Sri Lanka-Canada: 97-3
indicating an almost certain win.

Result: A very easy win for Sri Lanka.

Actual match id:  3102

Sri Lanka
won by 210 runs. Sri Lanka :
332 for 7 vs Canada
: 122 all out

Simulation result (32nd match).

Sri Lanka won by 208 runs. Sri Lanka
: 335/5/300 vs Canada
: 127/10/131

 

4. Prediction: Australia-Zimbabwe: 95-5
indicating an almost certain win.

Result: An easy win for Australia.

Actual match id:  3103

Australia
won by 91 runs. Australia :
262 for 6 vs Zimbabwe
: 171 all out

Simulation result (80th match).

Australia won by 93 runs. Australia
: 268/6/300 vs Zimbabwe
: 175/10/238

 

5. Prediction: England-Netherlands: 91-9
indicating an almost certain win.

Result: A very close match and England
winning narrowly.

Actual match id:  3104

England
won by 6 wkts. Netherlands :
292 for 6 vs England
: 296 for 4

Simulation result (86th match).

England won by 7 wkts. Netherlands
: 275/10/289 vs England
: 276/3/285

 

6. Prediction: Pakistan-Kenya: 94-6
indicating an almost certain win.

Result: A very easy win for Pakistan.

Actual match id:  3105

Pakistan
won by 205 runs. Pakistan :
317 for 7 vs Kenya
: 112 all out

Simulation result (88th match).

Pakistan won by 187 runs. Pakistan
: 272/10/286 vs Kenya
:  85/10/175

 

7. Prediction: South Africa-West Indies: 78-22 indicating an easy win.

Result: An easy win for South Africa.

Actual match id:  3106

South Africa won by 7 wkts. West Indies : 222 all out vs South Africa: 223 for 3

Simulation result (28th match).

South Africa won by 6 wkts. West Indies : 217/10/254 vs South Africa: 220/4/224

 

8. Prediction: Australia-New Zealand: 71-29 indicating an easy win.

Result: An easy win for Australia.

Actual match id:  3107

Australia
won by 7 wkts. New Zealand :
206 all out vs Australia
: 207 for 3

Simulation result (68th match).

Australia won by 7 wkts. New Zealand
: 223/10/250 vs Australia
: 227/3/240

 

9. Prediction: Bangladesh-Ireland: 56-44
indicating a close match and a tough win.

Result: A close match and tough win for Bangladesh.

Actual match id:  3108

Bangladesh won by 27 runs. Bangladesh
: 205 all out vs Ireland
: 178 all out

Simulation result (74th match).

Bangladesh won by 20 runs. Bangladesh
: 213/10/237 vs Ireland
: 193/10/223

 

10. Prediction: Sri Lanka-Pakistan: 64-36
indicating a comfortable win.

Result: A close win for Pakistan. Only match which went
against prediction. Only point of importance is that I had the outstanding
match-winner, Malinga, in my team. He would have made a big difference.

Actual match id:  3109

Pakistan  won by 11 runs. Pakistan
 : 277 for 7 vs Sri Lanka : 266 for 9

Simulation result (46th match).

Pakistan  won by 7 runs. Pakistan 
: 276/9/300 vs Sri
Lanka 
: 269/5/300

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