Today, MS Dhoni lost the toss. Yet again. He has lost 13 of his last 14 tosses in Test cricket, and surely the statistical odds of that are mind-bogglingly small.
Since I’m not very good at math, I asked my friend, sports enthusiast and math wiz Mahek Vyas, to calculate the probability for losing 13 tosses out of 14.
He says the magic number is 0.000854, or one in 1170.
Long story short, you’re more likely to experience one of these freak incidents than lose 13 tosses out of 14:
- You have never heard about global warming: 1 in 8
- You will see a UFO: 1/14
- You will get hemorrhoids: 1/25
- You will be on a plane with a drunk pilot: 1/117
- An airline will lose your baggage: 1/138
- You will date a millionaire: 1/215
- You become a New York Times best-selling author: 1/220
To put things into perspective, India were given a 66 to 1 chance of winning the 1983 World Cup. Those odds are huge when compared to Dhoni's phenomenally bad run with the toss.
The last two lost tosses have resulted in SouthRead More »from Why Dhoni is more likely to spot a UFO than win a toss